Transparent by design

How trend intelligence is produced

The commercial product explains an existing causal research system. It does not create signals or alter the Interpreter.

Market evidence

Completed multi-timeframe market data and derivatives context are transformed into causal state observations.

Interpretation

The Interpreter produces BUY, SELL, or WAIT while preserving the original evidence and market narrative.

Trend reversal

An opposite directional verdict changes the carried trend and establishes the exact reversal time and reference price.

Outcome research

Future one-minute prices measure MFE and MAE only after the event; they never define the reversal itself.

Definitions

Current Move

Direction-adjusted percentage movement from the confirmed reversal reference price to the latest interpreted price. Favorable bearish movement is shown as positive.

Best Move / MFE

The maximum favorable excursion reached anywhere in the one-minute path since reversal. It is not current profit.

Targets

T1 is +0.25%, T2 is +0.90%, and T3 is +2.00%. A target remains reached even if price later retraces because status is based on the complete observed path.

Active reversals

Active episodes remain observational and are excluded from finalized success statistics. The product does not invent confidence or probability scores.

Simulation

The separate hypothetical ledger uses the first confirmed reversal price, full-position target settlement, a 1% stop, transaction fees, and the next opposite reversal as the alternative exit. Same-minute target/stop ambiguity is handled conservatively with the stop first.